黃金夢

我們買賣金礦業指數的ETF — GDX的漲跌3倍槓桿的ETF — NUGT已經超過3年半了，買了918次，賣了773次，有相當可關的交易數據。

我們相信金礦公司股票的實質價值一定和公司擁有的金礦含金量，還有開採成本，股市經濟和其他地緣政治因素有關。更重要的，跟黃金價格有正向的關連性。

所以我們經常根據金價的漲跌幅來預測NUGT的價位變化量，你們能看出什麼端倪嗎？

Date	NUGT	Adj	Gold /oz	Gold/NUGT
07/28/14	45	360	1311	3.64
09/28/15	2.6	21	1072	51.04
01/19/16	18	14	1118	79.86
05/20/16	83	66	1212	18.36
08/03/16	183	146	1348	9.23
08/23/16	137	110	1326	12.06
01/27/17	9.5	38	1223	32.18
06/08/17	35	35	1213	34.66
09/07/17	44	44	1346	30.59
12/08/17	24	24	1243	51.79
03/23/18	25	25	1348	53.92

看在想賺錢的份上，動動腦筋吧！按照NUGT adj price的大小順序，由大至小調動一下，再把GDX擺進來，會不會清楚一點？

Date	GDX	NUGT	Gold /oz	Gold/GDX
07/28/14	26.3	360	1311	49.84
08/03/16	30.6	146	1348	44.05
08/23/16	28.7	110	1326	46.2
05/20/16	23	66	1212	50.94
09/07/17	25.3	44	1346	53.2
01/27/17	23	38	1223	53.17
06/08/17	23	35	1213	52.73
03/23/18	22.1	25	1348	60.99
12/08/17	21.5	24	1243	57.81
09/28/15	13.1	21	1072	82.08
01/19/16	12.3	14	1118	90.67

股票FB

我們買賣FB已經兩年半，終於賣光光了 。如果還有下一回，將是另一頁全新的紀錄，目前這些紀錄就要走入歷史的山洞。

談到 Facebook, 我在臉書上活動，結交世界各地的朋友(以華文為主)，我很感激這個公司真正免費的提供我們活動、表演的平台，所以我有信心去買這家公司的股票，兩年半來漲了4倍，這是我個人的眼光。

當初，多數的股市圈內人對FB有莫名的負面看法，少數是因為吃不到葡萄，多數是被這少數人煽動了。我們班員裡面也有人有負面看法，我的原則是不看好就不要買，不可以自我矛盾。還有人跟著買，賺了，但是還很自豪的說：「我是從不上Facebook的...」這也是要不得的心態。不能一面不看好人家的產品，一面還希望股票能漲價幫你賺錢。

整段買賣的過程，相對於DIOD或BX，是非常的輕鬆愉快，雖不是直直的上竄，偶爾的修正都是在合理的範圍之內。大部分的雜音都是來自沒有經驗沒有信心的班員，名嘴們的七嘴八舌都不值得一聽。可以一提的是weekly option, 從$20~$50上下，幾乎每個星期都可以看到大剌剌的操弄的痕跡，但也增加了不少的樂趣。

要省掉某些人好奇的計算的工作，我來告訴你們：總共買不超過212次(有好些是一次買1000股，拆成500、500的賣)，賣了212次。

買賣利潤$521,986.4，平均利得是12.29%, 因為超過20%利得的有45次，最高那次是73.92%； option 收了$9,148。

這樣的成績是很不錯的，但是比起NUGT，或UCO可就被比下去了。可見我們還在進步中。

FB
07/31/12 b   500 @21.71 10/24/12 s @24.84 net $1,550
07/31/12 b   500 @21.71 09/19/12 s @22.99 net $630
08/01/12 b 1000 @20.88 08/04/12 s @21.94 net $1,040
08/14/12 b 1000 @20.51 08/15/12 s @20.88 net $320
08/16/12 b 1000 @20.51 09/14/12 s @21.99 net $1,460
08/17/12 b 1000 @19.15 08/20/12 s @19.98 net $810
08/21/12 b 1000 @19.21 09/12/12 s @21.08 net $1,850
08/31/12 b 1000 @18.09 09/06/12 s @19.14 net $1,030
09/12/12 b 1000 @20.56 09/13/12 s @20.98 net $400
09/13/12 b 1000 @20.71 09/14/12 s @21.64 net $910
09/20/12 b   500 @22.56 11/16/12 s @23.59 net $500
09/24/12 b   500 @21.52 10/24/12 s @24.54 net $1,500
09/24/12 b   500 @21.52 10/24/12 s @24.94 net $1,700
09/25/12 b   500 @20.36 10/23/12 s @22.14 net $880
09/25/12 b   500 @20.36 09/28/12 s @21.89 net $750
10/09/12 b   500 @20.11 10/23/12 s @21.94 net $900
10/24/12 b   500 @22.91 11/28/12 s @26.84 net $1,940
10/31/12 b   500 @20.79 10/31/12 s @21.39 net $280
11/07/12 b   500 @20.51 11/14/12 s @21.89 net $670
11/09/12 b   500 @19.51 11/14/12 s @20.90 net $680
12/17/12 b   500 @26.36 12/18/12 s @27.79 net $700
12/21/12 b   500 @26.51 01/04/13 s @28.69 net $1,070
12/21/12 b   500 @26.51 01/07/13 s @29.34 net $1,400
12/21/12 b   500 @26.31 01/10/13 s @31.24 net $2,450
12/21/12 b   500 @26.31 05/02/13 s @28.19 net $930
12/27/12 b   500 @26.11 01/07/13 s @29.74 net $1,800
12/27/12 b   500 @26.11 01/09/13 s @30.47 net $2,160
01/07/13 b   500 @29.52 08/07/13 s @38.74 net $4,590
01/14/13 b   500 @31.41 07/30/13 s @37.94 net $3,250
01/14/13 b   500 @31.01 07/24/13 s @32.49 net $515+730
01/15/13 b   500 @30.07 07/24/13 s @32.49 net $515+1,200
01/18/13 b   500 @29.47 01/18/13 s @29.63 net $60
01/24/13 b   500 @31.06 07/25/13 s @34.24 net $420+1,575
01/24/13 b   500 @31.06 08/29/13 s @40.09 net $420+4,500
01/24/13 b 1000 @31.00 07/25/13 s @32.99 net $860+1,970
01/24/13 b   500 @31.00 07/29/13 s @35.54 net $2,750
01/29/13 b   500 @30.96 07/25/13 s @33.79 net $1,400
01/29/13 b   500 @30.96 07/25/13 s @34.88 net $1,950
01/29/13 b   500 @30.76 08/01/13 s @38.04 net $3,620
01/29/13 b   500 @30.76 07/30/13 s @36.98 net $3,090
01/31/13 b 1000 @29.26 07/25/13 s @32.99 net $3,710
01/31/13 b 1000 @28.91 01/31/13 s @30.18 net $1,250
02/01/13 b   500 @30.01 08/01/13 s @37.79 net $3,870
02/01/13 b   500 @30.01 08/29/13 s @41.69 net $5,320
02/04/13 b   300 @29.26 08/26/13 s @41.84 net $3,760
02/04/13 b   500 @29.26 09/24/13 s @48.98 net $9,850
02/04/13 b   200 @29.26 10/16/13 s @50.89 net $4,310
02/04/13 b   500 @28.71 08/07/13 s @38.89 net $5,070
02/04/13 b   500 @28.71 07/30/13 s @36.44 net $3,850
02/04/13 b   500 @28.26 05/02/13 s @29.02 net $360
02/04/13 b   500 @28.26 07/29/13 s @35.04 net $3,380
02/12/13 b 1000 @27.46 02/13/13 s @28.29 net $810
02/21/13 b   500 @27.61 05/02/13 s @28.96 net $660
02/21/13 b   500 @27.61 05/02/13 s @28.98 net $670
02/21/13 b   500 @27.21 03/07/13 s @28.59 net $675
02/21/13 b   500 @27.21 05/02/13 s @28.54 net $655
03/12/13 b   500 @27.61 05/02/13 s @28.93 net $645
03/15/13 b   720 @26.76 05/02/13 s @28.54 net $1,265
03/18/13 b 1000 @26.16 04/04/13 s @27.08 net $800
03/25/13 b 1000 @25.21 03/27/13 s @26.24 net $1,010
03/28/13 b 1000 @25.71 04/03/13 s @26.24 net $510
04/09/13 b 1000 @26.51 04/10/13 s @27.48 net $950
04/15/13 b 1000 @26.66 07/24/13 s @31.64 net $130+4960
05/06/13 b   500 @27.91 07/30/13 s @36.74 net $4,400
05/06/13 b   500 @27.71 07/25/13 s @32.04 net $2,250
05/06/13 b   500 @27.51 07/25/13 s @32.04 net $2,500
05/07/13 b   500 @27.01 05/09/13 s @27.54 net $250
05/10/13 b   500 @26.86 07/29/13 s @35.34 net $4,220
05/15/13 b   500 @26.61 08/05/13 s @39.04 net $6,200
05/17/13 b   250 @26.31 08/23/13 s @40.49 net $3,530
05/17/13 b   500 @26.31 08/02/13 s @38.29 net $5,970
05/22/13 b   500 @25.31 07/30/13 s @37.44 net $6,050
05/22/13 b   500 @25.31 07/25/13 s @33.98 net $4,320
05/24/13 b   400 @24.51 07/25/13 s @34.54 net $4,000
05/24/13 b   500 @24.51 07/16/13 s @26.59 net $1,020
05/29/13 b 1000 @23.41 05/30/13 s @24.54 net $1,110
06/04/13 b 1000 @23.41 06/10/13 s @24.54 net $1,110
06/05/13 b 1000 @22.81 06/10/13 s @23.99 net $1,160
06/12/13 b 1000 @23.81 06/18/13 s @24.69 net $860
06/20/13 b 1000 @23.76 06/21/13 s @24.44 net $660
07/19/13 b   500 @25.81 07/26/13 s @27.00 net $330+580
07/31/13 b   500 @36.61 08/01/13 s @37.64 net $500
08/13/13 b   500 @37.56 08/23/13 s @39.29 net $850
08/13/13 b   500 @37.26 08/21/13 s @38.84 net $770
08/13/13 b   500 @37.12 08/19/13 s @38.04 net $445
08/15/13 b   500 @36.31 08/19/13 s @37.84 net $750
08/26/13 b   300 @41.01 09/05/13 s @42.64 net $470
08/27/13 b   500 @39.66 09/17/13 s @43.94 net $2,120
09/12/13 b   500 @44.73 10/18/13 s @47.00 net $478+1,120
09/13/13 b   500 @44.21 10/18/13 s @49.00 net $478+2,380
09/16/13 b   500 @43.61 10/18/13 s @54.04 net $5,200
09/16/13 b   500 @43.61 12/11/13 s @51.49 net $3.920
09/16/13 b   500 @42.71 12/23/13 s @56.84 net $7,030
09/16/13 b   500 @42.71 12/17/13 s @54.84 net $6,050
09/24/13 b   500 @48.31 01/15/14 s @58.49 net $5,070
10/08/13 b   500 @49.41 02/07/14 s @63.00 net $6,790
10/08/13 b   500 @47.41 01/30/14 s @62.39 net $7,470
10/09/13 b   500 @45.52 10/09/13 s @47.59 net $1,010
10/09/13 b   500 @46.71 10/10/13 s @49.44 net $1,350
10/14/13 b 1000 @48.36 10/14/13 s @49.59 net $1,210
10/22/13 b   500 @53.01 02/07/14 s @63.00 net $235+4,995
10/28/13 b   500 @50.31 02/13/14 s @65.49 net $7,570
10/29/13 b   500 @50.01 02/13/14 s @66.94 net $8,450
10/29/13 b   500 @50.01 02/19/14 s @68.04 net $9,000
10/29/13 b   250 @50.01 02/19/15 s @77.54 net $6,870
10/29/13 b   250 @50.01 02/19/14 s @68.79 net $4,680
10/29/13 b   400 @49.91 12/13/13 s @53.49 net $1,415
10/29/13 b   500 @49.61 12/12/13 s @51.94 net $1,145
10/30/13 b   500 @49.01 02/11/14 s @64.44 net $7,695
10/30/13 b   500 @48.51 01/31/14 s @63.09 net $7,270
10/30/13 b   500 @47.71 11/05/13 s @48.98 net $615
10/31/13 b   500 @47.81 12/10/13 s @50.49 net $1,320
10/31/13 b   500 @47.41 12/13/13 s @53.24 net $2,900
10/31/13 b   500 @47.21 12/04/13 s @48.54 net $650
11/07/13 b   500 @48.41 02/11/14 s @64.99 bet $8,280
11/11/13 b   500 @46.51 11/13/13 s @48.44 net $950
11/11/13 b   620 @45.86 11/12/13 s @46.54 net $400
11/18/13 b   700 @47.71 12/10/13 s @49.79 net $1,440
11/18/13 b   500 @46.41 12/04/13 s @47.99 net $770
11/25/13 b   500 @44.41 11/27/13 s @46.54 net $1,050
12/11/13 b   500 @49.31 12/13/13 s @52.99 net $1,820
12/19/13 b   500 @53.31 12/20/13 s @55.03 net $840
12/27/13 b   250 @56.44 02/20/14 s @69.69 net $3,300
12/27/13 b   250 @56.44 02/19/14 s @69.04 net $3,130
12/30/13 b   500 @54.01 01/07/14 s @57.14 net $1,545
01/09/14 b   500 @56.99 02/07/14 s @63.00 net $1,058+2,990
01/13/14 b   500 @56.11 07/23/14 s @72.49 net $8,170
01/15/14 b   500 @57.91 01/29/14 s @60.19 net $790+1,120
01/17/14 b   500 @56.19 01/21/14 s @58.29 net $1,030
01/22/14 b   500 @57.51 04/08/14 s @58.64 net $550
01/24/14 b   500 @55.31 01/29/14 s @59.49 net $2,070
01/27/14 b   500 @53.51 02/07/14 s @63.59 net $5,020
01/30/14 b   500 @61.34 01/31/14 s @62.74 net $680
02/03/14 b   500 @60.81 02/04/14 s @62.94 net $1,050
02/19/14 b   250 @67.91 02/20/14 s @69.69 net $435
02/19/14 b   500 @64.71 07/23/14 s @74.64 net $4,950
02/21/14 b   500 @68.46 02/24/14 s @70.59 net $1,050
02/25/14 b   500 @69.91 02/26/14 s @71.09 net $570
02/26/14 b   500 @69.91 02/19/15 s @79.68 net $358+4,880
02/28/14 b   250 @68.06 09/02/14 s @76.23 net $2,025
02/28/14 b   500 @67.52 02/19/15 s @77.94 net $5,200
03/03/14 b   500 @66.51 03/05/14 s @71.94 net $2,700
03/06/14 b   500 @70.81 07/23/14 s @74.84 net $2,020
03/11/14 b   500 @70.91 02/26/15 s @80.94 net $5,000
03/12/14 b   500 @69.76 03/17/15 s @79.37 net $4,788
03/14/14 b   500 @68.21 02/19/15 s @78.54 net $5,150
03/17/14 b   500 @66.81 07/24/14 s @77.64 net $5,395
03/20/14 b   500 @67.01 02/19/15 s @77.69 net $5,320
03/24/14 b   250 @65.91 09/02/14 s @76.84 net $2,730
03/24/14 b   250 @65.91 07/24/14 s @78.19 net $3,065
03/24/14 b   500 @65.56 08/14/14 s @74.20 net $4,300
03/24/14 b   500 @63.56 03/25/14 s @65.93 net $1,165
03/26/14 b   500 @62.66 08/26/14 s @75.74 net $6,520
03/26/14 b   500 @62.66 06/24/14 s @66.54 net $1,930
03/26/14 b   500 @61.71 09/02/14 s @75.94 net $7,100
03/26/14 b   500 @60.81 06/25/14 s @67.48 net $3,320
03/27/14 b   500 @58.51 04/01/14 s @61.94 net $1,715*
03/28/14 b   500 @59.46 09/23/14 s @78.14 net $9,320
04/03/14 b   500 @60.21 04/09/14 s @61.94 net $865
04/03/14 b   500 @59.41 04/09/14 s @60.79 net $670
04/04/14 b   500 @57.46 05/19/14 s @59.19 net $845
04/04/14 b   500 @56.46 04/30/14 s @59.54 net $1,520
04/10/14 b   500 @61.46 06/10/14 s @65.44 net $1,990
04/10/14 b   500 @58.96 09/05/14 s @77.09 net $9,050
04/23/14 b   500 @62.02 09/29/14 s @79.19 net $8,555
04/24/14 b   500 @60.46 09/24/14 s @78.59 net $9,050
04/25/14 b   410 @57.61 05/12/14 s @59.54 net $775
04/28/14 b   500 @56.01 04/29/14 s @58.09 net $1,020
05/07/14 b   500 @58.02 05/21/14 s @60.49 net $1,220
05/07/14 b   500 @57.41 05/12/14 s @58.94 net $745
05/15/14 b   430 @57.56 05/21/14 s @60.00 net $1,100
05/20/14 b   500 @58.21 05/27/14 s @63.24 net $2,500
06/02/14 b   500 @62.21 06/02/14 s @63.09 net $420
06/06/14 b   500 @62.41 12/11/14 s @77.69 net $7,620+508
06/12/14 b   500 @64.51 06/18/14 s @65.64 net $565
06/19/14 b   500 @64.91 06/24/14 s @66.94 net $1,015
06/20/14 b   500 @63.46 06/23/14 s @64.94 net $720
06/24/14 b   500 @66.11 06/25/14 s @67.14 net $510
06/24/14 b   500 @65.41 06/25/14 s @66.84 net $700
07/02/14 b   500 @66.41 02/11/15 s @76.64 net $5,100
07/07/14 b   500 @65.41 07/21/14 s @69.89 net $2,235
07/08/14 b   500 @62.71 07/11/14 s @66.54 net $1,900
07/08/14 b   500 @62.51 07/11/14 s @66.09 net $1,770
07/21/14 b   500 @69.51 07/23/14 s @71.14 net $815
07/24/14 b   250 @74.61 09/08/14 s @78.14 net $882
07/29/14 b   500 @73.66 07/30/14 s @75.04 net $670
07/31/14 b   500 @73.51 08/13/14 s @74.24 net $350
07/31/14 b   500 @72.61 08/04/14 s @73.84 net $600
08/05/14 b   500 @72.61 08/07/14 s @73.89 net $620
08/07/14 b   500 @72.81 08/13/14 s @73.94 net $550
08/13/14 b   500 @73.66 08/19/14 s @75.27 net $780
08/22/14 b   500 @73.86 08/25/14 s @74.94 net $505
09/05/14 b   250 @76.31 09/10/14 s @77.13 net $205
09/15/14 b   250 @74.96 09/17/14 s @76.93 net $492
09/15/14 b   500 @74.51 09/15/14 s @75.84 net $650
09/15/14 b   250 @73.76 09/16/14 s @75.54 net $445
10/01/14 b   500 @76.41 03/20/15 s @84.54 net $4,050+1,003
10/10/14 b   250 @75.01 10/21/14 s @78.29 net $805
10/13/14 b   500 @72.91 03/19/15 s @82.99 net $5,023+1,050
10/28/14 b   500 @73.21 10/29/14 s @75.49 net $1,135
10/28/14 b   330 @71.71 10/29/14 s @75.98 net $1,390
11/12/14 b   660 @73.61 11/17/14 s @75.34 net $1,120
11/17/14 b   670 @74.06 11/25/14 s @75.44 net $905
12/03/14 b   675 @74.61 12/05/14 s @76.54 net $1,285
12/16/14 b   500 @75.71 12/18/14 s @78.24 net $1,250
12/16/14 b   695 @74.71 12/18/14 s @77.94 net $2,225
01/05/15 b   500 @77.01 02/19/15 s @77.74 net $360
01/06/15 b   710 @75.41 01/06/15 s @76.74 net $925.
01/15/15 b   740 @75.26 01/22/15 s @77.74 net $1,820
01/15/15 b   500 @74.06 01/29/15 s @78.59 net $2,250
01/27/15 b   755 @76.31 01/29/15 s @77.89 net $1,175
02/02/15 b   790 @73.81 02/03/15 s @75.49 net $1,310

檢驗種收律

如果我們以“種收律”來看待我們必賺的股票買賣，每到年終時，我們可以統計一年內，譬如2014年，那個股票FB：

1. 一共種了: 82次

2. 一共收成了(包括以前種了，今年才收割的) : 88次

3. 已經成熟，還未收割的有: 11次

4. 還未成熟的有: 0次

5. 每次的平均收穫量有: $248,276/88 = $2,821

6. 平均收割期是: 52天

7. 大概平均一次收割：475股；成本：$61*475 = $28,975

8. 在6天以內就收割的有：38次；共賺了：$37,722 ；平均收穫量只有: $993

譬如2014年下半年才開始的新品種NUGT：

1. 一共種了: 115次

2. 一共收成了: 68次

3. 已經成熟，還未收割的有: 8次

4. 還未成熟的有: 39次

5. 每次的平均收穫量有: $76,278/68 = $1,122

6. 平均收割期是: 3天

7. 大概平均一次收割：800股；成本：$15,800

有了這些統計以後，大概還可以預算新年度要如何添新苗？要不要增加平均收穫量？那個股票品種的成本低，收穫量高？

假設FB 的平均收割期縮短成3天，你們猜會出現甚麼現象?
假設NUGT 的平均收割期放大成52天，你們猜會出現甚麼現象?

有人認為：幹麼那麼煩？揀錢就好了...
我告訴妳：到時候別人揀得到，妳就揀不到。

有人喜歡賺錢，卻不喜歡知道賺錢的方法。
有人要上天堂，卻不喜歡認識神。

FB

09/24/13 b 500 @48.31 01/15/14 s @58.49 net $5,070 5,070 113

10/08/13 b 500 @49.41 02/07/14 s @63.00 net $6,790 11,860 119

10/08/13 b 500 @47.41 01/30/14 s @62.39 net $7,470 19,330 111 343

10/09/13 b 500 @45.52 10/09/13 s @47.59 net $1,010

10/09/13 b 500 @46.71 10/10/13 s @49.44 net $1,350

10/14/13 b 1000 @48.36 10/14/13 s @49.59 net $1,210

10/22/13 b 500 @53.01 02/07/14 s @63.00 net $235+4,995 24,560 105

10/28/13 b 500 @50.31 02/13/14 s @65.49 net $7,570 32,130 106

10/29/13 b 500 @50.01 02/13/14 s @66.94 net $8,450 40,580 105

10/29/13 b 500 @50.01 02/19/14 s @68.04 net $9,000 49,580 111

10/29/13 b 250 @50.01

10/29/13 b 250 @50.01 02/19/14 s @68.79 net $4,680 54,260 111 881

10/29/13 b 400 @49.91 12/13/13 s @53.49 net $1,415

10/29/13 b 500 @49.61 12/12/13 s @51.94 net $1,145

10/30/13 b 500 @49.01 02/11/14 s @64.44 net $7,695 61,955 102

10/30/13 b 500 @48.51 01/31/14 s @63.09 net $7,270 69,225 91 1074

10/30/13 b 500 @47.71 11/05/13 s @48.98 net $615

10/31/13 b 500 @47.81 12/10/13 s @50.49 net $1,320

10/31/13 b 500 @47.41 12/13/13 s @53.24 net $2,900

10/31/13 b 500 @47.21 12/04/13 s @48.54 net $650

11/07/13 b 500 @48.41 02/11/14 s @64.99 bet $8,280 77,505 94 1168

11/11/13 b 500 @46.51 11/13/13 s @48.44 net $950

11/11/13 b 620 @45.86 11/12/13 s @46.54 net $400

11/18/13 b 700 @47.71 12/10/13 s @49.79 net $1,440

11/18/13 b 500 @46.41 12/04/13 s @47.99 net $770

11/25/13 b 500 @44.41 11/27/13 s @46.54 net $1,050

12/11/13 b 500 @49.31 12/13/13 s @52.99 net $1,820

12/19/13 b 500 @53.31 12/20/13 s @55.03 net $840

12/27/13 b 250 @56.44 02/20/14 s @69.69 net $3,300 80,805 54

12/27/13 b 250 @56.44 02/19/14 s @69.04 net $3,130 83,935 53

12/30/13 b 500 @54.01 01/07/14 s @57.14 net $1,545 85,480 8

01/09/14 b 500 @56.99 02/07/14 s @63.00 net $1,058+2,990 89,528 28

01/13/14 b 500 @56.11 07/23/14 s @72.49 net $8,170 97,698 220

01/15/14 b 500 @57.91 01/29/14 s @60.19 net $790+1,120 99,608 4

01/17/14 b 500 @56.19 01/21/14 s @58.29 net $1,030 100,638 4 1539

01/22/14 b 500 @57.51 04/08/14 s @58.64 net $550 101,188 76

01/24/14 b 500 @55.31 01/29/14 s @59.49 net $2,070 103,258 5

01/27/14 b 500 @53.51 02/07/14 s @63.59 net $5,020 108,278 10

01/30/14 b 500 @61.34 01/31/14 s @62.74 net $680 108,958 1

02/03/14 b 500 @60.81 02/04/14 s @62.94 net $1,050 110,008 1

02/19/14 b 250 @67.91 02/20/14 s @69.69 net $435 110,443 1

02/19/14 b 500 @64.71 07/23/14 s @74.64 net $4,950 115,393 153

02/21/14 b 500 @68.46 02/24/14 s @70.59 net $1,050 116,443 3

02/25/14 b 500 @69.91 02/26/14 s @71.09 net $570 117,013 1 1943

02/26/14 b 500 @69.91 net $358+

02/28/14 b 250 @68.06 09/02/14 s @76.23 net $2,025 119,396 184

02/28/14 b 500 @67.52

03/03/14 b 500 @66.51 03/05/14 s @71.94 net $2,700 122,096 2

03/06/14 b 500 @70.81 07/23/14 s @74.84 net $2,020 124,116 136

03/11/14 b 500 @70.91

03/12/14 b 500 @69.76

03/14/14 b 500 @68.21

03/17/14 b 500 @66.81 07/24/14 s @77.64 net $5,395 129,511 130

03/24/14 b 250 @65.91 09/02/14 s @76.84 net $2,730 132,241 160

03/24/14 b 250 @65.91 07/24/14 s @78.19 net $3,065 135,306 123

03/24/14 b 500 @65.56 08/14/14 s @74.20 net $4,300 139,606 143

03/24/14 b 500 @63.56 03/25/14 s @65.93 net $1,165 140,771 1

03/26/14 b 500 @63.56

03/26/14 b 500 @62.66 08/26/14 s @75.74 net $6,520 147,291 152 2974

03/26/14 b 500 @62.66 06/24/14 s @66.54 net $1,930 149,221 179

03/26/14 b 500 @61.71 09/02/14 s @75.94 net $7,100 156,321 157

03/26/14 b 500 @60.81 06/25/14 s @67.48 net $3,320 159,641 91

03/27/14 b 500 @58.51 04/01/14 s @61.94 net $1,715* 161,356 5

03/28/14 b 500 @59.46 09/23/14 s @78.14 net $9,320 170,676 177

04/03/14 b 500 @60.21 04/09/14 s @61.94 net $865* 171,541 6

04/03/14 b 500 @59.41 04/09/14 s @60.79 net $670 172,211 6 3595

04/04/14 b 500 @57.46 05/19/14 s @59.19 net $845 173,056 45

04/04/14 b 500 @56.46 04/30/14 s @59.54 net $1,520 174,576 26

04/10/14 b 500 @61.46 06/10/14 s @65.44 net $1,990* 176,566 62

04/10/14 b 500 @58.96 09/05/14 s @77.09 net $9,050 185,616 147

04/23/14 b 500 @62.02 09/29/14 s @79.19 net $8,555 194,171 157

04/24/14 b 500 @60.46 09/24/14 s @78.59 net $9,050 203,221 151

04/25/14 b 410 @57.61 05/12/14 s @59.54 net $775 203,996 17

04/28/14 b 500 @56.01 04/29/14 s @58.09 net $1,020 205,016 1

05/07/14 b 500 @58.02 05/21/14 s @60.49 net $1,220 206,136 14

05/07/14 b 500 @57.41 05/12/14 s @58.94 net $745 206,981 5

05/15/14 b 430 @57.56 05/21/14 s @60.00 net $1,100 208,081 6 4226

05/20/14 b 500 @58.21 05/27/14 s @63.24 net $2,500 210,581 7

06/02/14 b 500 @62.21 06/02/14 s @63.09 net $420 211,011 0

06/06/14 b 390 @62.46

06/06/14 b 500 @62.41 12/11/14 s @77.69 net $7,620+508 219,129 176

06/12/14 b 500 @64.51 06/18/14 s @65.64 net $565* 219,694 6

06/19/14 b 500 @64.91 06/24/14 s @66.94 net $1,015* 220,709 5

06/20/14 b 500 @63.46 06/23/14 s @64.94 net $720 221,429 3

06/24/14 b 500 @66.11 06/25/14 s @67.14 net $510* 221,939 1

06/24/14 b 500 @65.41 06/25/14 s @66.84 net $700 222,639 1

07/02/14 b 500 @66.41

07/07/14 b 500 @65.41 07/21/14 s @69.89 net $2,235* 224,874 14

07/08/14 b 500 @62.71 07/11/14 s @66.54 net $1,900 226,774 3

07/08/14 b 500 @62.51 07/11/14 s @66.09 net $1,770 228,544 3

07/21/14 b 500 @69.51 07/23/14 s @71.14 net $815* 229,359 2

07/24/14 b 250 @74.61 09/08/14 s @78.14 net $882 230,241 44 4491

07/29/14 b 500 @73.66 07/30/14 s @75.04 net $670 230,911 1

07/31/14 b 500 @73.51 08/13/14 s @74.24 net $350 231,261 14

07/31/14 b 500 @72.61 08/04/14 s @73.84 net $600 231,861 5

08/05/14 b 500 @72.61 08/07/14 s @73.89 net $620 232,481 2

08/07/14 b 500 @72.81 08/13/14 s @73.94 net $550 233,031 6

08/13/14 b 500 @73.66 08/19/14 s @75.27 net $780 233,811 6

08/22/14 b 500 @73.86 08/25/14 s @74.94 net $505 234,316 3

09/05/14 b 250 @76.31 09/10/14 s @77.13 net $205 234,521 5

09/15/14 b 250 @74.96 09/17/14 s @76.93 net $492 235,013 2

09/15/14 b 500 @74.51 09/15/14 s @75.84 net $650 235,663 0

09/15/14 b 250 @73.76 09/16/14 s @75.54 net $445 236,108 1

10/01/14 b 500 @76.41 10/23/14 @82.00 net $+1,003 237,111

10/10/14 b 250 @75.01 10/21/14 s @78.29 net $805 237,916 11

10/13/14 b 500 @72.91 10/17/14 @78.00 net $+1,050 238,966

10/28/14 b 500 @73.21 10/29/14 s @75.49 net $1,135 240,101 1

10/28/14 b 330 @71.71 10/29/14 s @75.98 net $1,390 241,491 1

11/12/14 b 660 @73.61 11/17/14 s @75.34 net $1,120 242,611 5

11/17/14 b 670 @74.06 11/25/14 s @75.44 net $905 243,516 8

12/03/14 b 675 @74.61 12/05/14 s @76.54 net $1,285 244,801 2

12/16/14 b 500 @75.71 12/18/14 s @78.24 net $1,250 246,051 2

12/16/14 b 695 @74.71 12/18/14 s @77.94 net $2,225 248,276 2 4578

NUGT

07/15/14 b 500 @43.71 07/16/14 s @45.09 net $690 (1.38) 1

07/15/14 b 500 @42.56 07/16/14 s @43.74 net $570 (1.18) 1

07/24/14 b 500 @43.21 07/25/14 s @45.69 net $1,220 (2.48) 1

07/31/14 b 500 @43.36 08/06/14 s @45.14 net $870 (1.78) 6

07/31/14 b 500 @43.02 08/01/14 s @44.09 net $530 (1.07) 1

07/31/14 b 500 @42.36 08/01/14 s @45.04 net $1,320 (2.68) 1

08/01/14 b 500 @43.71 08/06/14 s @45.99 net $1,135 (2.28) 5

08/04/14 b 500 @42.31 08/06/14 s @46.49 net $2,070 (4.18) 2

08/05/14 b 500 @41.11 08/05/14 s @42.94 net $895 (1.83) 9,300 0

08/21/14 b 500 @43.71

08/21/14 b 500 @42.51 08/28/14 s @44.79 net $1,120 (2.28) 7

08/22/14 b 500 @42.21 08/28/14 s @44.33 net $1,060 (2.12) 6

08/25/14 b 500 @41.61 08/26/14 s @43.19 net $770 (1.58) 1

08/25/14 b 500 @41.16 08/26/14 s @42.79 net $800 (1.63) 13,050 1 33

09/02/14 b 500 @43.16

09/02/14 b 600 @42.71

09/02/14 b 600 @42.11

09/02/14 b 500 @41.76

09/04/14 b 600 @39.84

09/04/14 b 600 @39.01

09/04/14 b 500 @38.41

09/04/14 b 600 @37.66

09/04/14 b 600 @36.91

09/08/14 b 600 @35.96

09/08/14 b 500 @35.11

09/08/14 b 600 @34.16

09/09/14 b 600 @33.16 09/09/14 s @34.64 net $870 (1.48) 0

09/10/14 b 600 @33.11

09/12/14 b 500 @32.11

09/17/14 b 720 @30.56

09/18/14 b 500 @29.61

09/19/14 b 700 @28.51

09/19/14 b 700 @27.41

09/22/14 b 500 @26.66

09/22/14 b 700 @25.91 09/23/14 s @27.29 net $950 (1.38) 1

09/24/14 b 700 @25.85

09/25/14 b 1000 @24.81 09/25/14 s @25.94 net $1,110 (1.13) 0

09/26/14 b 1000 @24.91

09/29/14 b 700 @24.41

09/30/14 b 1000 @23.06 10/01/14 s @24.29 net $1,210 (1.23) 1 35

10/01/14 b 1000 @23.51 10/08/14 s @24.59 net $1,060 (1.08) 7

10/02/14 b 1000 @21.76

10/02/14 b 1000 @20.76 10/06/14 s @21.91 net $1,150 (1.15) 4 46

10/02/14 b 1000 @20.50 10/06/14 s @21.94 net $1,420 (1.44) 19,870 4

10/07/14 b 1000 @21.56 10/08/14 s @24.24 net $2,670 (2.68) 1 51

10/07/14 b 500 @21.01

10/07/14 b 500 @21.01 10/15/14 s @23.89 net $1,420 (2.88) 8

10/07/14 b 1000 @20.21 10/08/14 s @21.69 net $1,460 (1.48) 1 60

10/09/14 b 1000 @22.21

10/09/14 b 1000 @21.31 10/09/14 s @21.74 net $420 (0.43) 0

10/10/14 b 500 @20.71 10/13/14 s @23.27 net $1,280 (2.56) 3

10/10/14 b 500 @20.71 10/13/14 s @22.74 net $1,010 (1.03) 3 66

10/13/14 b 500 @22.31

10/13/14 b 500 @21.61 10/15/14 s @23.39 net $890 (1.78) 29,020 2

10/15/14 b 500 @22.31

10/17/14 b 500 @20.61 10/21/14 s @22.64 net $1,010 (2.03 9.8%) 4 72

10/22/14 b 1000 @20.01

10/23/14 b 1000 @18.86 10/28/14 s @19.39 net $520 (0.53 2.8%) 5 77

10/29/14 b 1000 @18.31

10/29/14 b 1000 @17.76

10/29/14 b 1250 @16.81

10/30/14 b 1000 @15.81

10/30/14 b 500 @15.01 11/18/14 s @16.94 net $960 (1.93 12.86%) 19 95

10/30/14 b 500 @15.01 11/18/14 s @16.64 net $810 (1.63 10.86%) 32,320 115

10/30/14 b 500 @14.16 11/18/14 s @16.34 net $1,080 (2.18 15.40%) 19

10/30/14 b 500 @14.16 11/18/14 s @16.04 net $930 (1.88 13.28%) 19 151

10/31/14 b 1000 @11.57 11/03/14 s @12.34 net $750 (0.77 6.6%) 35,080 3

11/04/14 b 1000 @11.66 11/07/14 s @12.99 net $1,310 (1.33 11.4%) 3

11/04/14 b 750 @11.11 11/07/14 s @12.64 net $1,130 (1.53 13.77%) 3 160

11/04/14 b 1000 @11.11 11/07/14 s @12.39 net $1,270 (1.28 11.52%) 3

11/05/14 b 1000 @09.81 11/06/14 s @11.14 net $1,310 (1.33 13.56%) 40,100 1 164

11/10/14 b 1000 @12.26 11/14/14 s @13.54 net $1,260 (1.28 10.44%) 4

11/10/14 b 1000 @11.76 11/11/14 s @12.79 net $1,020 (1.03 8.76%) 1

11/10/14 b 1000 @10.91 11/11/14 s @12.39 net $1,460 (1.48 13.57%) 1 170

11/14/14 b 1000 @11.12 11/14/14 s @12.59 net $1,450 (1.47 13.22%) 0

11/19/14 b 1000 @15.51 11/19/14 s @16.04 net $520 (0.53 3.42%) 45,810 0

11/19/14 b 1000 @15.51

11/19/14 b 1000 @14.61 11/20/14 s @15.34 net $710 (0.73 4.50%) 1

11/24/14 b 500 @14.61 11/25/14 s @16.49 net $930 (1.88 12.87%) 1

11/24/14 b 500 @14.61 11/25/14 s @15.84 net $600 (1.23 8.42%) 48,050 1 173

11/28/14 b 1000 @14.00

11/28/14 b 1000 @14.00 12/01/14 s @14.64 net $620 (0.64 4.57%) 3

12/01/14 b 1000 @12.00 12/01/14 s @13.59 net $1,570 (1.59 13.08%) 0

12/02/14 b 40 @13.26

12/02/14 b 60 @13.26 12/03/14 s @13.90 net $38

12/02/14 b 900 @13.26 12/03/14 s @14.64 net $1,240 (1.38 10.41%) 51,518 1 177

12/02/14 b 1000 @12.81 12/03/14 s @14.44 net $1,610 (1.63 12.72%) 1

12/04/14 b 1000 @13.61 12/09/14 s @14.99 net $1,370 (1.38 10.14) 5

12/05/14 b 1000 @12.76 12/09/14 s @14.44 net $1,660 (1.68 13.17%) 56,158 4 187

12/05/14 b 1000 @12.41 12/08/14 s @12.88 net $460 (0.47 3.79%) 3

12/05/14 b 1000 @12.31 12/09/14 s @14.04 net $1,720 (1.73 14.05%) 4

12/08/14 b 1000 @12.21 12/09/14 s @13.74 net $1,520 (1.53 12.53%) 1

12/08/14 b 1000 @11.81 12/09/14 s @13.59 net $1,770 (1.78 15.07%) 61,628 1 186

12/10/14 b 1000 @13.86

12/10/14 b 1000 @13.51

12/11/14 b 1000 @12.76 12/11/14 s @13.94 net $1,170 (1.18 9.25%) 0

12/11/14 b 1000 @12.86

12/12/14 b 1000 @12.11

12/15/14 b 1000 @11.06

12/15/14 b 1000 @10.91

12/15/14 b 1000 @10.71

12/15/14 b 1000 @10.46 12/18/14 s @11.79 net $1,310 (1.33 12.72%) 3

12/15/14 b 1000 @10.19 12/18/14 s @11.44 net $1,240 (1.25 12.35%) 3

12/15/14 b 49 @10.08

12/15/14 b 1000 @09.81 12/18/14 s @11.48 net $1,660 (1.67 17.02%) 3

12/15/14 b 1000 @09.56 12/18/14 s @11.39 net $1,810 (1.83 19.14%) 68,818 3

12/18/14 b 1000 @10.66 12/18/14 s @11.39 net $710 (0.73 6.8%) 0 198

12/22/14 b 1000 @10.81

12/22/14 b 1000 @10.41

12/22/14 b 1000 @10.01

12/22/14 b 1000 @09.81 12/26/14 s @11.24 net $1,410 (1.43 14.58%) 4

12/22/14 b 1000 @09.51 12/24/14 s @10.29 net $780 (0.78 8.20%) 2

12/29/14 b 1000 @10.21 12/30/14 s @11.34 net $1,110 (1.13 11.17%) 1

12/29/14 b 1000 @10.12 12/30/14 s @11.59 net $1,450 (1.47 14.53%) 1

12/29/14 b 500 @10.12 12/30/14 s @11.39 net $620 (1.27 12.55%) 1

12/29/14 b 1000 @10.09 12/30/14 s @11.49 net $1,380 (1.40 13.88%) 76,278 1 208

12/31/14 b 1000 @10.61

事後諸葛亮

許多人都經歷過這次07/23/2014 Facebook 第二次季報前後股價波動的興奮的經驗，不少人也狠狠的撈了一把；如今已過了三個星期，有人因為興奮過度，到現在還是不知所措，也有人擔心又會掉回$60幾塊...；距離下個季報還早得很，所以讓我們把討論範圍侷限在這些日子來，FB的買賣策略。

在價位圖的07/10~7/22的價位波動，一天漲個兩塊錢簡直是理所當然的，要跌個一塊錢，可能是有人把馬航的客機打下來，或是FED的印鈔機壞掉了；所以基本策略就是慢慢的賣(不賣也無所謂)，快快的買回來。

到了開獎的那天07/23下午和07/24一大早，所有的股民神經線都繃得緊緊的，大家都知道要漲，問題是到底要漲多少，官方紀錄只漲到$76.74/股，但是諸葛亮卻賣到了$77.64/股和$78.19/股，那不是黑市價格，而是早市（天黑黑的）價格，不列入官方紀錄；所以基本策略就是早起的鳥兒有蟲吃，當然，早起的蟲兒也會被早起的鳥兒吃。

07/25~08/19就是我們的重點所在，三個星期以來，每天上上下下的，總共不超過三塊，每天會漲跌超過一塊的，一定是股票市場當天的漲跌在兩三百點之間；而且是漲漲跌跌的拉鋸戰；就像是第一次世界大戰的壕溝戰，說是“西線無戰事”，但是每天雙方還是死傷上千百人。

在這段期間裡，就是把那兩天高價賣出的現金當本錢，逢低就買，再低再買，逢高就賣，再高再賣；這裡面只有一個例外：因為家裡25年老的冷暖氣系統該換新了，廠商報價$4,950，所以收割$4,300來平衡預算。總之，$3,570就是這段毫無做為的時段的養老金的收入。

FB

07/08/14 buy 500 @62.71 07/11/14 sell 500 @66.54 net $1,900

07/08/14 buy 500 @62.51 07/11/14 sell 500 @66.09 net $1,770

07/07/14 buy 500 @65.41 07/21/14 sell 500 @69.89 net $2,235

07/21/14 buy 500 @69.51 07/23/14 sell 500 @71.14 net $815

01/13/14 buy 500 @56.11 07/23/14 sell 500 @72.49 net $8,170

03/06/14 buy 500 @70.81 07/23/14 sell 500 @74.84 net $2,020

03/17/14 buy 500 @66.81 07/24/14 sell 500 @77.64 net $5,395

03/24/14 buy 250 @65.91 07/24/14 sell 250 @78.19 net $3,065

07/29/14 buy 500 @73.66 07/30/14 sell 500 @75.04 net $670

07/31/14 buy 500 @73.51 08/13/14 sell 500 @74.24 net $350

07/31/14 buy 500 @72.61 08/04/14 sell 500 @73.84 net $600

08/05/14 buy 500 @72.61 08/07/14 sell 500 @73.89 net $620

08/07/14 buy 500 @72.81 08/13/14 sell 500 @73.94 net $550

03/24/14 buy 500 @65.56 08/14/14 sell 500 @74.20 net $4,300

08/13/14 buy 500 @73.66 08/19/14 sell 500 @75.27 net $780